
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Rio Open, scheduled for February 16 2026. This market will resolve to “Carabelli” if Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins the first set. It will resolve to “Burruchaga” if Roman Andres Burruchaga wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Core Question:
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Burruchaga
Current Consensus:
The market estimates a 0.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.
Platforms Tracked:
Aggregated from Polymarket.
Resolution Date:
Expected to resolve after Feb 23.
Market believes this outcome is unlikely
Market believes this outcome is likely
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