
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between February 13, 12:00 PM ET and February 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Core Question:
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Current Consensus:
The market estimates a 0.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.
Platforms Tracked:
Aggregated from Polymarket.
Resolution Date:
Expected to resolve after Feb 20.
Market believes this outcome is unlikely
Market believes this outcome is likely
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