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Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 52.5% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 162d.

Yes Probability
52.5%

Market believes this outcome is likely

No Probability
47.5%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

24h Volume
$3.00M
Ends
In 162d

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