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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 8?

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 8?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 8?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.3% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 1d.

Yes Probability
0.3%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
99.7%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$1.0K
Ends
In 1d

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