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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 9.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after 4h ago.

Yes Probability
9.0%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
91.0%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$11.7K
Ends
4h ago

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