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Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?

Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone on the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list (https://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten) is captured by United States law enforcement authorities between market issuance and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A fugitive being captured is defined as the fugitive being arrested by United States law enforcement authorities, voluntarily surrendering to United States law enforcement authorities, being extradited by a non-US entity to United States law enforcement authorities, or otherwise being taken into formal custody by United States law enforcement authorities. An individual on the FBI Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list being captured by a non-US entity, without subsequent extradition or equivalent transfer into United States law enforcement custody, will not count. Captures by United States forces overseas will count. Only individuals who are on the FBI Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list at the time of their capture will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United States law enforcement authorities and/or United States local, state or federal government entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 100.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 13d.

Yes Probability
100.0%

Market believes this outcome is likely

No Probability
0.0%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

24h Volume
$0
Ends
In 13d

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