
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Core Question:
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Current Consensus:
The market estimates a 6.8% probability of a "Yes" resolution.
Platforms Tracked:
Aggregated from Polymarket.
Resolution Date:
Expected to resolve after In 13d.
Market believes this outcome is unlikely
Market believes this outcome is likely
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