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Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.5% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 43d.

Yes Probability
0.5%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
99.5%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$993.9K
Ends
In 43d

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