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Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 1.4% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 75d.

Yes Probability
1.4%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
98.6%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$34.7K
Ends
In 75d

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