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Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.7% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 76d.

Yes Probability
0.7%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
99.4%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$17.4K
Ends
In 76d

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