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Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.1% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 96d.

Yes Probability
0.1%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
100.0%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$282.1K
Ends
In 96d

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