
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Core Question:
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?
Current Consensus:
The market estimates a 39.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.
Platforms Tracked:
Aggregated from Polymarket.
Resolution Date:
Expected to resolve after In 125d.
Market believes this outcome is unlikely
Market believes this outcome is likely
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