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Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart set to “MTD.” Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 23.7% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after Jan 1.

Yes Probability
23.7%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
76.3%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$0
Ends
Jan 1

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