
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of February 21, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Hot 100 chart (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Core Question:
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?
Current Consensus:
The market estimates a 0.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.
Platforms Tracked:
Aggregated from Polymarket.
Resolution Date:
Expected to resolve after Feb 17.
Market believes this outcome is unlikely
Market believes this outcome is likely
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