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Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,140 on the final trading day of February 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,140 on the final trading day of February 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of February 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,140 on the final trading day of February 2026?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after Feb 28.

Yes Probability
0.0%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
100.0%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$7.2K
Ends
Feb 28

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