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Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,020,000 by March 1?

Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,020,000 by March 1?

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on March 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on March 1, 2026. If no data for March 1 is released by March 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/12)

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,020,000 by March 1?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after Mar 1.

Yes Probability
0.0%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
100.0%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$2.2K
Ends
Mar 1

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