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Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 26.0% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 76d.

Yes Probability
26.0%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
74.0%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$15.4K
Ends
In 76d

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