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Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Market Summary (AI Insight)

Core Question:

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Current Consensus:

The market estimates a 0.8% probability of a "Yes" resolution.

Platforms Tracked:

Aggregated from Polymarket.

Resolution Date:

Expected to resolve after In 965d.

Yes Probability
0.8%

Market believes this outcome is unlikely

No Probability
99.3%

Market believes this outcome is likely

24h Volume
$14.63M
Ends
In 965d

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